Papers by year and title

 

YearTitle
1995 A Number of things
1995 Probabilistic Accident Consequence Uncertainty Analysis Vol. 3 Appendices C,D,E,F, and G - Dispersion and Deposition Uncertainty Assessment
1996Reliability Model for Undergrouned Gas Pipelines
1997 Kalman filtering for nonlineair atmospheric chemistry models: first experiences
1997 Markov and Entropy Properties of Tree- and Vine-Dependent Variables
1997 Probabilistic Accident Consequence Uncertainty Analysis Vol. 1 Main Report - Dispersion and Deposition Uncertainty Assessment
1997 Probabilistic Accident Consequence Uncertainty Analysis Vol. 1 Main Report - Food Chain Uncertainty Assessment
1997 Probabilistic Accident Consequence Uncertainty Analysis Vol. 2 Appendices - Food Chain Uncertainty Assessment
1997 Probabilistic Accident Consequence Uncertainty Analysis Vol. 1 Appendices - Uncertainty for Deosited Material and External Doses
1997 Probabilistic Accident Consequence Uncertainty Analysis Vol. 2 Appendices - Uncertainty for Deosited Material and External Doses
1997 Probabilistic Accident Consequence Uncertainty Analysis Vol. 1 Main Report - Early Health Effects Uncertainty Assessment
1997 Probabilistic Accident Consequence Uncertainty Analysis Vol. 2 Appendices - Early Health Effects Uncertainty Assessment
1997 Probabilistic Accident Consequence Uncertainty Analysis Vol. 1 Main Report - Late Health Effects Uncertainty Assessment
1997Response to discussants
1998 EVALUATION OF WEIGHTING SCHEMES FOR EXPERT JUDGMENT STUDIES
1998Local Probabilistic Sensitivity Measures for Comparing FORM and Monte Carlo Calculations Illustrated with Dike Ring Reliability Calculations
1998 Probabilistic Accident Consequence Uncertainty Analysis Vol. 1 Main Report - Uncertainty Assessment for Internal Dosimetry
1998 Probabilistic Accident Consequence Uncertainty Analysis Vol. 2 Appendices - Uncertainty Assessment for Internal Dosimetry
1998Selection of Probability Distributions with a Case Study on Extreme Oder River Discharges
1998THE ROBUSTNESS OF MAINTENANCE OPTIMIZATION TO MODELLING ASSUMPTIONS
1999Data assimilation for tropospheric ozone prediction problems using Kalman filtering
1999Generic Graphics for Uncertainty and Sensitivity Analysis
1999 Nuclear Science and Technology - Procedures guide for structured expert judgement
2000Conditional and Partial Correlation For Graphical Uncertainty Models
2000 Expert judgement for a probabilistic accident consequence uncertainty analysis
2000 Living near an Airport, Risky or just Annoying? 
2000 Nuclear Science and Technology - Procedures guide for structured expert judgement
2000nValue of information based inspection-strategy of a fault-treef
2000Optimal Inspection Decisions for the Block Mats of the Eastern-Scheldt Barrier
2000Probability density decomposition for conditionally dependent random variables modeled by vines
2000Probability of dike failure due to uplifting and piping
2000Procedures Guide for Structured Expert Judgement in Accident Consequence Modelling
2000Processing Expert Judgements in Accident Consequence Modelling
2000The use of Bayes factors for model selection in structural reliability
2000 Uncertainty in Compartmental Models for Hazardous Materials - A Case Study
2001CARMA: Food Safety and Expert Judgement
2001CONDITIONAL, PARTIAL AND RANK CORRELATION FOR THE ELLIPTICAL COPULA; DEPENDENCE MODELLING IN UNCERTAINTY ANALYSIS
2001 Dispersion and Deposition Module
2001Elliptical copulae
2001Expert judgement elicitation on probabilistic accident consequence codes
2001Expert Judgment in the Uncertainty Analysis of Dike Ring Failure Frequency
2001Generating "Dependent" Quasi-Random Numbers
2001Local Probabilistic Sensitivity Measure (ppt)
2001Local Probabilistic Sensitivity Measure (ppt)
2001Markowitz Model, an Optimal Portfolio Selection. AEX Exchange Stock Data Analysis (ppt)
2001Optimal Replacement Decisions for Structures under Stochastic Deterioration
2001 Probabilistic Accident Consequence Uncertainty Assessment: Countermeasures Uncertainty Assessment
2001 Probabilistic Accident Consequence Uncertainty Assessment Using COSYMA: Uncertainty from the Atmospheric
2001 Probabilistic Accident Consequence Uncertainty Assessment Using COSYMA Uncertainty from the Early and Late Health Effects Module
2001 Probabilistic Accident Consequence Uncertainty Assessment Using COSYMA: Uncertainty from the Dose Module
2001 Probabilistic Accident Consequence Uncertainty Assessment Using COSYMA: Overall Uncertainty Analysis
2001 Probabilistic Accident Consequence Uncertainty AssessmentUsing COSYMA: Methodology and Processing Techniques
2001 Reliability Databases Perspective
2001RISK ANALYSIS AND JURISPRUDE NCE; A RECENT EXAMPLE
2001Self Conditional Probabilities and Probabilistic Interpretations of Belief Functions
2001Sensitivity in Cost Effectiveness Analyses (ppt)
2001The Aviation Risk to Groundlings with Spatial Variability
2001 Vines-a new graphical model for dependent random variables
2002 A parameterization of positive definite matrices in terms of partial correlation vines
2002Cost-based criteria for obtaining optimal design decisions
2002Design of Experiments --Morris Method (ppt)
2002Elicitation of expert opinions for uncertainty and risks
2002 EXPERT AGGREGATION WITH DEPENDENCE
2002 Hybrid Method for Quantifying and Analyzing Bayesian Belief Nets 2
2002LINEARIZATION OF LOCAL PROBABILISTIC SENSITIVITY VIA SAMPLE RE-WEIGHTING
2002METHODS OF TRANSFORMING NON-POSITIVE DEFINITE CORROLATION MATRICES (ppt)
2002 RELIABILITY MODEL FOR UNDERGROUND GAS PIPELINES
2002 Techniques for Generic Probabilistic Inversion
2002The effect of model uncertainty on maintenance optimization
2002 THE VINE COPULA METHOD FOR REPRESENTING HIGH DIMENSIONAL DEPENDENT DISTRIBUTIONS: APPLICATION TO CONTINUOUS BELIEF NETS
2003A non-parametric two-stage Bayesian model using Dirichlet distribution
2003A Practical model of Heineken's bottle filling line with dependent failures
2003Analysis Tools for Competing Risk Failure Data
2003Aviation causal model using Bayesian Belief Nets to quantify management influence
2003 Aviation causal model using Bayesian Belief Nets to quantify management influence
2003Bayesian computation of design discharges
2003 Boekbespreking: Het pseudoniem van God Een wiskundige over geloof, wetenschap en toeval
2003 Causal modeling for integrated safety at airports
2003COMPETING RISK PERSPECTIVE OVER RELIABILITY DATABASES
2003Coping with uncertainty in sewer system rehabilitation
2003 Graphical models for the evaluation of multisite temperature forecasts: comparison of vines and independence graphs
2003Hybrid Method for Quantifying and Analyzing Bayesian Belief Nets
2003 Inspection and maintenance decisions based on imperfect inspections
2003Life-Cycle Cost Approach to Bridge Management in the Netherlands
2003MAINTENANCE STUDY FOR COMPONENTS UNDER COMPETING RISKS
2003New Developments in Life-Cycle Cost Analysis of Civil Infrastructure (ppt)
2003Two-stage Bayesian models - application to ZEDB project
2003 Techniques for Modelling the Life-Cycle Cost of Civil Infrastructures
2004 Competing risk and the Cox proportional hazard model
2004COMPETING RISK AND THE COX PROPORTIONAL HAZARD MODEL
2004 Ethics and Choosing Appropriate Means to an End: Problems with Coal Mine and Nuclear Workspace Safety
2004Inspection and maintenance decisions based on imperfect inspections
2004Probabilistic Inversion for Chicken Processing Lines
2004 The Anatomy of the Squizzel The role of operational definitions in representing uncertainty
2004 Uncertainty Analysis for NO x Emissions from Dutch passenger cars in 1998
2005Completion problem with partial correlation vines
2005Development of a causal model for air transport safety
2005Distribution - Free Continuous Bayesian Belief Nets
2005Distribution - Free Continuous Bayesian Belief Nets
2005 Hybrid Method for Quantifying and Analyzing Bayesian Belief Nets
2005 Probabilistic Inversion of Expert Judgments in the Quantification of Model Uncertainty
2005 STAKEHOLDER PREFERENCE ELICITATION
2005 STAKEHOLDER PREFERENCE ELICITATION RC4Igor
2006Expert judgement – Calibration and combination
2006 Hybrid Method for Quantifying and Analyzing Bayesian Belief Nets - Special issue
2006Integration of Stochastic Generation in Power Systems
2006 Sampling algorithms for generating joint uniform distributions using the vine-copula method
2006 Statistical inference for Markov deterioration models of bridge conditions in the Netherlands
2006Techniques for Generic Probabilistic Inversion
2006 Uncertainty Analysis and Dependence Modelling
2007 eemcs_kallen_20071204.pdf
2007 Discrete Choice with Probabilistic Inversion: Application to energy policy choice and wiring failure
2007 Eliciting conditional and unconditional rank correlations from conditional probabilities
2007Eliciting Conditional and Unconditional Rank Correlations from Conditional Probabilities
2007Expert Judgment study for Placement Ladder Bowtie
2007 Further development of a Causal model for Air Transport Safety (CATS); building the mathematical heart
2007On the Performance of Social Network and Likelihood Based Expert Weighting Schemes
2007Quantification of the non- parametric continuous BBNs with expert judgment (ppt)
2007 Regulating under Uncertainty: Newsboy for Exposure Limits
2007 Risk based decision support for new air traffic operations with reduced aircraft separation
2007Sample{based Estimation of Correlation Ratio with Polynomial Approximation
2007Simulating stable, substable and weakly stable multidimensional distributions
2007Stakeholder Preference with Probabilistic Inversion: Application to Competitiveness Indiceshttp://www.ewi.tudelft.nl/fileadmin/Faculteit/EWI/Over_de_faculteit/Afdelingen/Applied_Mathematics/Risico_en_Beslissings_Analyse/Papers/Ship-borne_Nonindigenous_Species_Rothlisberger_et_al_2012.pdf
2007THE COX PROPORTIONAL HAZARD MODEL
2007The population version of Spearman’s rank correlation coefficient in the case of ordinal discrete random variables
2007TU Delft Expert Judgment Data Base
2007Uncertainty Analysis with UNICORN
2007Vines in Overview Invited Paper Third Brazilian conference on statistical Modelling in Insurance and Finance
2007 Vines in Overview Invited Paper Third Brazilian Conference on Statistical Modelling in Insurance and Finance
2008 Attribution of Foodborne Pathogens Using Structured Expert Elicitation
2008Continuous/Discrete Non Parametric Bayesian Belief Nets with UNICORN and UNINET
2008EEMCS Final Report for the Causal Modeling for Air Transport Safety (CATS) Project
2008EEMCS Final Report for the Causal Modeling for Air Transport Safety (CATS) Project
2008Fifteen years of expert judgement at TUDelft
2008Further development of a Causal model for Air Transport Safety (CATS); Building the mathematical heart
2008Further development of a Causal model for Air Transport Safety (CATS); Building the mathematical heart
2008 Introducción al modelo clásico de juicio estructurado de expertos: breve recuento del pasado y una aplicación reciente
2008Mixed Non-Parametric Continuous and Discrete Bayesian Belief Nets
2008Mixed Non-Parametric Continuous and Discrete Bayesian Belief Nets
2008Modeling Stakeholder Preferences with Probabilistic Inversion: Application to Prioritizing Marine ecosystem Vulnerabilities
2008 Obtaining distributions from Groups for Decisions under Uncertainty
2008 System Level Risk Analysis of New Merging and Spacing Protocols
2008 UNINET Help
2008UNINET Help mini
2009 Climate Change and Risk Management
2009 Counting Vines
2009Mining and Visualising Ordinal Data with Non-Parametric Continuous BBNs
2009Ordinal Data Mining for Fine Particles with Non Parametric Continuous Bayesian Belief Nets
2009 The Unholy Trinity: Fat Tails, Tail Dependence, and Micro-Correlations
2009 The work of professor Jan van Noortwijk (1961-2008): an overview
2009Using a Causal model for Air Transport Safety (CATS) for the evaluation of alternatives
2010A route to more tractable expert advice
2010 Conundrums with Uncertainty Factors
2010 Development of an individual-based model for polioviruses: implications of the selection of network type and outcome metrics
2010 Micro Correlations and Tail Dependence
2010 Reliability Engineering and System Safety
2010 Optimal vaccine stockpile design for an eradicated disease: Application to polio
2010 Response to Reviewers
2010 Prioritizing Emerging Zoonoses in The Netherlands
2010 Probabilistic Inversion in Priority Setting of Emerging Zoonoses
2010 Probabilistic Inversion in Priority Setting of Emerging Zoonoses
2010 The Limits of Securitization
2010 Updating Parameters of the Chicken Processing Line Model
2010 Updating Parameters of the Chicken Processing Line Model
2010 Using expert judgment to estimate marine ecosystem vulnerability in the California Current
2010 Verwirrende Mehrheit; Wenn Gefahr droht, müssen schnelle Entscheidungen her. Doch welcher Experte hat Recht?
2010 Vines Arise Handbook
2011 Expert judgment based multi-criteria decision model to address uncertainties in risk assessment of nanotechnology-enabled food products
2011 Fat-Tailed Distributions: Data, Diagnostics, and Dependence
2011 Fat - Tailed Distributions: Data, Diagnostics, and Dependence
2011Least squares type estimation for Cox regression model and specification error
2011Least squares type estimation for Cox regression model and specification error revised2
2011Men moet veel meer investeren in een concreter klimaatpanel
2011Parameter estimation in a reservoir engineering application
2011 Precursor Analysis for Offshore Oil and Gas Drilling - From Prescriptive to Risk-Informed Regulation
2011 Precursor Analysis for Offshore Oil and Gas Drilling - From Prescriptive to Risk-Informed Regulation
2011The Limits of Securitisation: Micro-correlations, Fat Tails and Tail Dependence
2011Uncertainty Analysis Meets Climate Change (ppt)
2011Vines and Continuous Non-parametric Bayesian Belief Nets with Emphasis on Model Learning
2011Vines and Continuous Non-parametric Bayesian Belief Nets with Emphasis on Model Learning
2012A continuous Bayesian network for earth dams’ risk assessment: an application
2012 Conceptual Fallacies in Subjective Probability
2012Dynamic Bayesian Networks as a Possible Alternative to the Ensemble Kalman Filter for Parameter Estimation in Reservoir Engineering
2012 Expert judgement and re-elicitation for prion disease risk uncertainties
2012 Expert judgement and re-elicitation for prion disease risk uncertainties
2012 Explaining the Failure to Insure Catastrophic Risks
2012 Explaining the Failure to Insure Catastrophic Risks
2012 Model Uncertainty in Economic Impacts of Climate Change: Bernoulli Versus Lotka Volterra Dynamics
2012 Non-Parametric Bayesian Networks (NPBN) versus Ensemble Kalman Filter (EnKF) in Reservoir Simulation with non-Gaussian Measurement Noise 
2012Risk Management and Model Uncertainty in Climate Change
2012 Ship-borne Nonindigenous Species Diminish Great Lakes Ecosystem Services
2012 Uncertainty analysis comes to integrated assessment models for climate change… and conversely
2012 Uncertainty Analysis Comes to Integrated Assessment Models for Climate Change … and Conversely
2013A continuous Bayesian network for earth dams’ risk assessment: methodology and quantification
2013 Non-Parametric Bayesian Belief Nets versus Vines
2013 Validating Expert Judgment with the Classical Model
2013Using Dynamic Bayesian Networks to Implement Feedback in a Management Risk Model for the Oil Industry
2014Conditional Dependence in the Markowitz M<link file: _blank>Risk Management and Model Uncertainty in Climate Changeodel
Archimedean Copulas (ppt)
Uncertainty and Sensitivity Analysis
Variance vs Entropy Base Sensitivity Indices (ppt)